A bowl contains 12 green candies

2024 Handbook

2024 Test B Math · Question 17 of 57

Question

A bowl contains 12 green candies, 4 yellow candies, and some red candies. The probability of choosing a green candy at random is twice as great as the probability of choosing a red candy at random. What is the probability of choosing a yellow candy at random?

A $\frac{2}{11}$
B $\frac{2}{9}$
C $\frac{1}{4}$
D $\frac{3}{11}$

Show the answer

Correct answer: A

The probability of choosing a green candy is twice as great as the probability of choosing a red candy. There are 12 green candies. Let r = the number of red candies.

$12=2r$

$r=6$

So there are 6 red candies. 12 green candies + 4 yellow candies + 6 red candies = 22 total candies.

There are 4 yellow candies out of a total of 22 candies. So the probability of choosing a yellow candy is

$\frac{4}{22}=\frac{2}{11}$ .

Question analysis

A probability question about a bowl of 12 green candies, 4 yellow candies and an unknown number of red ones. A green candy is twice as likely to be picked as a red one, and students find the chance of picking a yellow candy. The missing red count has to be worked out before any probability can be found.

NYS standards: 6.SP.8a uniform probability models
6.EE.7 one-step equations
Grade level: Grade 6 content, by NYS standard
Compared with grade 7: Above grade 7 Simple probability is grade 6 content in New York, and grade 7 problems usually give every count. Working backward from a comparison of two probabilities to a missing count, then forward to a third probability, is more than typical grade 7 work.
Estimated difficulty: Hard: combines ideas, needs a plan, and has more than one tempting wrong answer.
Thinking it demands: Depth of knowledge 2, skills and concepts · mainly apply
What makes it hard: Turning words into math moderate
Combines ideas moderate
Solution: 3 steps
Reading level: Question and choices: about grade 7, 49 words.
Students, last 30 days: Not enough answers yet to show (it takes 10).

Why it is hard, traps and wrong answers (shows the answer)

Why it is hard

The question withholds the red count, and everything depends on recovering it from the comparison of probabilities. Students who cannot make that step tend to leave red out altogether, while those who find 6 red candies can still slip at the end by using the wrong total or the wrong color. Writing all three counts and the total of 22 before forming any fraction prevents both endings.

Turning words into math moderate Understanding the question
“Twice as great as the probability of choosing a red candy” must become 12 = 2 × the red count, which works only because both probabilities share one total. (Hegarty, Mayer & Monk, 1995; Koedinger & Nathan, 2004)
Combines ideas moderate Working it out
An unknown count has to be found from a ratio before any probability can be written, joining proportional reasoning with probability as a part over the total. (Embretson, 1998; Daniel & Embretson, 2010)

Strategy: Turn twice as likely into a statement about numbers of candies to find the red count, add all three colors for the total, then put the yellow count over that total and simplify.

Traps

Answers a different question: A choice is right for another quantity: the other unknown, the rest instead of the part, the part instead of the whole.
Numbers taken from the question: Combines the numbers in the question without a model of the situation, or is simply a number that appears in the question.

The wrong answers, classified

B Misunderstands the concept (Smith, diSessa & Roschelle, 1993; De Bock et al., 1998; Ni & Zhou, 2005)
Reveals a misconception Expected pull: weak
Finds the 6 red candies but compares the 4 yellow with the 18 green and red ones, 4/18, a part-to-part ratio instead of part to whole.
C Numbers taken from the question (Hegarty, Mayer & Monk, 1995)
Reveals a surface strategy Expected pull: strong
Leaves out the red candies, whose number is not given, and divides the 4 yellow by the 16 green and yellow candies.
D Answers a different question (King et al., 2004; Hegarty, Mayer & Monk, 1995)
Reveals a slip Expected pull: moderate
Finds the 6 red candies and the total of 22 correctly but gives the chance of red, 6/22 = 3/11, instead of yellow.

How the questions are analyzed, and the research behind it

Worked solution, step by step

Formulas used

Probability: $P = \frac{\text{number of the kind you want}}{\text{total number}}$; P is the probability, the chance that something happens. The top is how many candies are the kind you want. The bottom is how many candies there are in all. Each candy is just as likely to be picked, so this fraction gives the chance.

Sort out what you know
The bowl has 12 green candies, 4 yellow candies and some red candies. You are not told how many are red. Let r be the number of red candies.
The chance of picking green is twice the chance of picking red. You need the probability (the chance) of picking yellow.
Compare green and red
Write each chance with the probability formula.
$P = \frac{\text{number of the kind you want}}{\text{total number}}$
Green and red have the same bottom number, the total number of candies. So if the chance of green is twice the chance of red, there are twice as many green candies as red ones.
$12 = 2 \times r$
Find the red candies and the total
$r = 12 \div 2 = 6$
There are 6 red candies. Now add up all the candies.
$12 + 4 + 6 = 22$
There are 22 candies in all. Watch out: do not leave out the red candies just because their number was not given. Using 16 as the total gives 1/4, choice C.
Find the chance of yellow
There are 4 yellow candies out of 22.
$P = \frac{4}{22} = \frac{2}{11}$
Divide the top and the bottom by 2 to simplify. Watch out: the question asks for yellow, not red. 6/22 = 3/11 is the chance of red, choice D. The bottom must be all 22 candies. Using 18 gives 2/9, choice B.
So the answer is A, $\frac{2}{11}$ .

Check your answer

Check the clue. The chance of green is $\frac{12}{22}$ , and the chance of red is $\frac{6}{22}$ . Twelve is twice 6, so green is twice as likely. Also, the three chances add up to 1: $\frac{12}{22} + \frac{4}{22} + \frac{6}{22} = \frac{22}{22} = 1$ .

The original DOE question

Question 74 as printed on page 203 of the DOE handbook. — As printed in the DOE’s NYC Guide to the Specialized High Schools Admissions Test (SHSAT) for 2025 Admissions, page 203, question 74. Open page 203 of the handbook (PDF) The handbook letters this question’s choices E–H; here they are A–D (E = A, F = B, G = C, H = D).