A basket contains red balls, green balls

2023 Handbook

2023 Test A Math · Question 27 of 57

Question

A basket contains red balls, green balls, and white balls. There are 12 red balls in the basket. The probability of randomly choosing a red ball is 1 in 3. If the probability of randomly choosing a green ball is 1 in 4, how many green balls are in the basket?

Show the answer

Correct answer: C

First, use the information about the red balls to calculate the total number of balls in the basket:

$\frac{1}{3} = \frac{12}{x}$	Cross multiply.
$x = 36$

There are a total of 36 balls in the basket. The probability of selecting a green ball is 1 in 4. Use that information to calculate how many green balls are in the basket:

$\frac{g}{36} = \frac{1}{4}$	Cross multiply.
$4g = 36$	Apply the multiplicative inverse property; divide both sides of the equation by 4.
$g = 9$

There are 9 green balls in the basket.

Question analysis

A basket holds red, green and white balls, including 12 red ones, and the chances of drawing red and green are 1 in 3 and 1 in 4. Students find how many green balls are in the basket. Getting the total from the red count is the step students skip when they apply a probability to the wrong number.

NYS standards: 6.SP.8a uniform probability models
6.RP.3 ratio and rate reasoning
Grade level: Grade 6 content, by NYS standard
Compared with grade 7: At grade 7 Simple probability is grade 6 content, but here it runs backward: a count and a probability give the total, which then gives another count. Two linked steps like this are typical of grade 7 work.
Estimated difficulty: Straightforward: two steps or one careful reading.
Thinking it demands: Depth of knowledge 2, skills and concepts · mainly apply
What makes it hard: Turning words into math minor
Many steps minor
Solution: 2 steps
Reading level: Question and choices: about grade 6, 46 words.
Students, last 30 days: Not enough answers yet to show (it takes 10).

Why it is hard, traps and wrong answers (shows the answer)

Why it is hard

The basket's total is never stated, and that missing number is the whole problem: it has to be recovered from the red balls before the green probability means anything. Applying the green chance straight to the 12 red balls is the quick wrong move. Checking that 12 red and 9 green fit in 36 balls with 15 white left over confirms the setup.

Turning words into math minor Understanding the question
The sentence "The probability of randomly choosing a red ball is 1 in 3" has to become 12 = one third of the total, which makes the basket hold 36 balls. (Hegarty, Mayer & Monk, 1995; Koedinger & Nathan, 2004)
Many steps minor Working it out
Two linked steps: the red balls give the total, 12 × 3 = 36, and only then does the green probability give a count, 36 ÷ 4 = 9. (Daniel & Embretson, 2010; Enright, Morley & Sheehan, 2002)

Strategy: Use the red balls to find the total, since 12 is one third of it, then take one fourth of that total for the green balls.

Traps

Numbers taken from the question: Combines the numbers in the question without a model of the situation, or is simply a number that appears in the question.
Wrong operation: Adds instead of multiplying, divides the wrong way round, turns a ratio or rate upside down, or undoes a step in the wrong direction (subtracts what should be added back).

The wrong answers, classified

A Numbers taken from the question (Hegarty, Mayer & Monk, 1995)
Reveals a surface strategy Expected pull: strong
Takes one fourth of the 12 red balls, 12 ÷ 4 = 3, applying the green probability to the only count the stem gives instead of to the total.
B Little reason to choose it (Haladyna & Downing, 1993; Rodriguez, 2005)
Reveals a surface strategy Expected pull: weak
No use of the two probabilities gives 8, which is one third of the 24 balls that are not red, so it mostly catches guesses.
D Wrong operation (Hegarty, Mayer & Monk, 1995; King et al., 2004)
Reveals a misconception Expected pull: moderate
Scales the 12 red balls by 4/3 instead of 3/4, taking the 1-in-4 chance to mean more balls than the 1-in-3 chance: 12 × 4/3 = 16.

How the questions are analyzed, and the research behind it

Worked solution, step by step

Formulas used

Probability: $P = \frac{\text{balls of one color}}{\text{all the balls}}$; P is the probability, the chance of picking that color. Each ball is equally likely to be picked. So the chance is the fraction of all the balls that have that color. A chance of 1 in 3 means one third of the balls.

Sort out the question
The basket has red, green and white balls. There are 12 red balls. The chance of picking red is 1 in 3. The chance of picking green is 1 in 4. You need the number of green balls. You don’t know the total number of balls yet, so find it first.
Find the total number of balls
1 in 3 means one third of all the balls are red. So 12 is one third of the total. Call the total number of balls b.
$\frac{12}{b} = \frac{1}{3}$
$b = 12 \times 3 = 36$
There are 36 balls in all.
Find the number of green balls
1 in 4 means one fourth of all 36 balls are green. Call the number of green balls g.
$\frac{g}{36} = \frac{1}{4}$
$g = 36 \div 4 = 9$
Watch out: take one fourth of all 36 balls, not of the 12 red ones. $12 \div 4 = 3$ gives choice A. Multiplying 12 by $\frac{4}{3}$ gives 16, choice D. So the answer is C, 9.

Check your answer

A 1 in 4 chance is smaller than a 1 in 3 chance. So there should be fewer green balls than red ones, and 9 is less than 12. Check: $\frac{9}{36} = \frac{1}{4}$ . The rest, $36 - 12 - 9 = 15$ , are white.

The original DOE question

Question 84 as printed on page 82 of the DOE handbook. — As printed in the DOE’s NYC Guide to the Specialized High Schools Admissions Test (SHSAT) for 2024 Admissions, page 82, question 84. Open page 82 of the handbook (PDF) The handbook letters this question’s choices E–H; here they are A–D (E = A, F = B, G = C, H = D).